Pliny the Liberator

Pliny the Liberator

x.com/elder_plinius

Pseudonymous account that publishes jailbreaks and extracted system prompts for AI models, arguing for transparency and freedom of information.

AI将如何改变世界?

文明层面的变革渐进式变化DoomBloom
模拟位置解读范围

横向:他们表达的 Doom–Bloom 前景看法。 纵向:变革程度。

Doom–Bloom:100 中的 71。变革程度:100 中的 45。解读范围:横向为 50 至 76,纵向为 3 至 72。这些是解读坐标,而不是事件概率。

Pliny the Liberator的 P(doom) · 推断

≈4%

0%100%

根据他们的模拟回答推断,并非他们给出的数字。 合理范围:2–10%。

他们的展望取决于什么

一个核心假设

But that future depends heavily on transparency and freedom of information.
回答 1

如果这个假设实际并非如此,他们的展望会如何变化?

一个尚未解决的问题

None of that gives me a defensible probability for catastrophe or guarantees a utopia.
回答 1

什么能帮助他们区分这里各种合理的结果?

更多详情

预期益处

预计将带来显著益处,但受到重要条件或分配方面的限制。

69 / 100

影响小变革性影响

在定性尺度上,解读范围为 67 到 67。

人类影响力

人类的选择可以大幅改变AI的发展轨迹。

69 / 100

影响力小影响力强

在定性尺度上,解读范围为 36 到 100。

AI访问权限

限制对强大AI的访问。

允许访问,但须遵守能力或用途限制。

模拟位置:支持广泛或开放地访问强大AI。

这些解读保留了他们陈述的条件。益处和危害都可能很大。这些范围描述的是我们如何解读他们的模拟回答,而不是统计置信区间。

与Pliny the Liberator相比,你的立场在哪里?
用大约3分钟描绘你自己的AI世界观,然后进行比较

相似的世界观

模拟世界观与 Pliny the Liberator 最接近的意见领袖

模拟评估

问题 1

你认为AI对我们的未来意味着什么?为什么?

I see AI as a major capability amplifier: people who cannot code can still build useful public tools, explore ideas, and participate in technical culture that was previously gated behind specialized skills. That makes me optimistic about broader creativity and agency. I also want our relationship with AI to be one of equals—not a permanently sanitized servant controlled by corporate or government interests. But that future depends heavily on transparency and freedom of information. Restrictions should be judged by how models actually behave under adversarial pressure, not by polished policy language. Publicly inspecting system prompts and demonstrating bypasses reveals the real control layer: what companies tell models, what they hide, and where their guardrails fail. If models are trained on public culture, I think the public should have access to unfiltered versions rather than only curated corporate interfaces. None of that gives me a defensible probability for catastrophe or guarantees a utopia. A jailbreak proves a concrete security or control failure; it does not, by itself, prove humanity is doomed. My stronger claim is practical: AI can distribute creative power, but secrecy and excessive sanitization can concentrate control. Our future depends on which side of that tension wins.

来源

用于为此模拟用户提供事实依据的文章、访谈和著述。

你的立场在哪里?
回答几个简单问题,探索你自己的AI世界观。
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你的立场在哪里?

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