Question 1

Rob Pruzan
x.com/robknight__Developer interfaces that let people inspect and work with agents.
How will AI change the world?
Across: their expressed Doom–Bloom outlook. Up: scale of transformation.
Doom–Bloom: 71 out of 100. Scale of transformation: 25 out of 100. Interpretation ranges: 50 to 75 horizontally, 14 to 36 vertically. These are interpretation coordinates, not event probabilities.
Not specified
There is not enough relevant evidence yet to estimate their view of catastrophic risk.
A central assumption
If generated changes are accepted without deep review, people can lose track of how their systems work and weaken the skills needed to debug unfamiliar problems.Answer 2
If this assumption turned out differently, how would their outlook change?
What could change their mind
The strongest evidence would come from agents repeatedly solving unfamiliar, difficult software problems while producing changes that remain understandable and maintainable under deep review.Answer 3
What evidence would be enough, and in which direction would it move their view?
More details
Substantial benefits are expected, with important conditions or distribution limits.
65 / 100
Interpretation range 67 to 67 on the qualitative scale.
Manageable or localized harms are expected.
33 / 100
Interpretation range 33 to 33 on the qualitative scale.
Reasoning, consideration of alternatives, and handling of uncertainty in their simulated answers. This describes the simulated answers, not the real person’s intelligence or opinions.
96 / 100
Interpretation range 90 to 100 on the qualitative scale.
A tentative estimate from your answers; the wider range shows other plausible readings.
53 / 100
Interpretation range 0 to 100 on the qualitative scale.
These interpretations keep their stated conditions. Benefits and harms can both be substantial. The ranges describe how we read their simulated answers, not statistical confidence intervals.
Simulated Assessment
Question 2
Taking benefits and harms together, what overall impact do you expect AI to have?
Question 3
What discovery or event would most change your view of AI’s future impact?
Sources
Articles, interviews, and writings used to ground this simulated user.

