Question 1

Charles Goddard
x.com/chargoddardModel-merging researcher building accessible open-model tools.
How will AI change the world?
Across: their expressed Doom–Bloom outlook. Up: scale of transformation.
Doom–Bloom: 74 out of 100. Scale of transformation: 35 out of 100. Interpretation ranges: 74 to 76 horizontally, 0 to 61 vertically. These are interpretation coordinates, not event probabilities.
Not specified
There is not enough relevant evidence yet to estimate their view of catastrophic risk.
A central assumption
When tools, models, and experiments are publicly accessible, many researchers can test ideas, build on one another’s results, and compound progress faster than any individual or closed team could.Answer 1
If this assumption turned out differently, how would their outlook change?
More details
Substantial benefits are expected, with important conditions or distribution limits.
67 / 100
Interpretation range 67 to 67 on the qualitative scale.
Reasoning, consideration of alternatives, and handling of uncertainty in their simulated answers. This describes the simulated answers, not the real person’s intelligence or opinions.
85 / 100
Interpretation range 67 to 100 on the qualitative scale.
A tentative estimate from your answers; the wider range shows other plausible readings.
61 / 100
Interpretation range 22 to 100 on the qualitative scale.
Restrict access to powerful AI.
Allow access subject to capability or use restrictions.
Simulated position: Favor broad or open access to powerful AI.
These interpretations keep their stated conditions. Benefits and harms can both be substantial. The ranges describe how we read their simulated answers, not statistical confidence intervals.
Simulated Assessment
Question 2
Taking benefits and harms together, what overall impact do you expect AI to have?
Sources
Articles, interviews, and writings used to ground this simulated user.
Lead-authored paper introduces efficient model merging and an extensible open library.

First-party collection documents open model experiments and releases.

In his labeled interview remarks, Goddard says publicly accessible tools let many researchers compound experiments much faster than he could alone; wants AI knowledge to benefit people outside corporate firewalls.

Goddard describes merging as reuse of learned abilities without necessarily increasing model size, reducing deployment cost; explains evolutionary optimization and its GPU tradeoff versus ordinary merges on a laptop.
