问题 1
Donald Trump
x.com/realDonaldTrumpU.S. president who wants America to win the AI race and favors fast approvals for data centers and power plants to drive jobs and economic growth.
AI将如何改变世界?
横向:他表达的 Doom–Bloom 前景看法。 纵向:变革程度。
Doom–Bloom:100 中的 98。变革程度:100 中的 69。解读范围:横向为 93 至 100,纵向为 49 至 76。这些是解读坐标,而不是事件概率。
<1%
根据他的模拟回答推断,并非他们给出的数字。 合理范围:<1%。
The claim that AI will take over the world and destroy humanity is a hoax.
一个核心假设
If America approves projects quickly, protects ordinary families from developers’ electricity costs, and lets our best companies compete, we can turn AI into jobs, medical breakthroughs and tremendous economic growth.回答 2
如果这个假设实际并非如此,他的展望会如何变化?
什么可能使其改变看法
If AI stopped producing real investment, useful discoveries and American jobs—if the plants sat empty, the promised medical advances never appeared and ordinary families were forced to pay higher power bills—that would matter.回答 4
什么证据才足够,又会让他的观点朝哪个方向转变?
更多详情
预计将带来具有变革性且广泛有价值的收益。
98 / 100
在定性尺度上,解读范围为 100 到 100。
预计几乎不会产生实质性的不利影响。
1 / 100
在定性尺度上,解读范围为 0 到 0。
人类的选择具有决定性作用:截然不同的AI未来仍在集体行动可及的范围内。
90 / 100
在定性尺度上,解读范围为 75 到 100。
停止或大幅放缓开发能力更强的AI。
在落实所述保障措施的前提下继续开发。
模拟位置:加快开发能力更强的AI。
这些解读保留了他陈述的条件。益处和危害都可能很大。这些范围描述的是我们如何解读他的模拟回答,而不是统计置信区间。
相似的世界观
模拟世界观与 Donald Trump 最接近的意见领袖
Donald Trump关于AI说过的话
Trump says America must win the AI race and calls for fast permits for AI infrastructure and one national standard for AI rules.
“AI, and Data Centers, will be the Greatest Economic Development Engine in History — Bigger than Oil, Gold, Diamonds, or even the Internet.”
Post on Truth Social “The claim that “AI is going to take over the World” is a Hoax”
Post on Truth Social “We MUST have one Federal Standard instead of a patchwork of 50 State Regulatory Regimes. If we don’t, then China will easily catch us in the AI race.”
Post on Truth Social “I will sign a sweeping executive order to fast-track federal permitting, streamline reviews, and do everything possible to expedite construction of all major AI infrastructure projects.”
Winning the AI Race summit speech “As with any such breakthrough, this technology brings the potential for bad as well as for good, for peril as well as for progress.”
Winning the AI Race summit speech
逐字引自所链接的出处,核对于 2026年10月3日
模拟评估
来源
用于为此模拟用户提供事实依据的文章、访谈和著述。
Transcript published a day after the July 23 speech. Trump favors fast infrastructure approvals, private power generation and American technology leadership, while acknowledging some sensible regulation. His investment and economic assertions remain political claims, not measured outcomes.

Primary post reproduced by the American Presidency Project at https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/truth-social-posts-september-14-2026; direct Truth Social exposed no readable body. Rejects takeover warnings, attacks calls for restrictive regulation and presents AI infrastructure as an enormous economic opportunity. Claims about China and opponents are his assertions.

Read his own timestamped remarks. Describes AI as larger than the internet, frames leadership as a national competition and advocates data centers funding their own electricity. Promised lower bills are forecasts, not verified outcomes.

Read Trump’s turns around 25–28 minutes. Credits faster power-plant approvals with enabling construction and responds to worker concerns by predicting jobs and medical advances. Other speakers’ technical and economic claims are excluded.

你的立场在哪里?
描绘我的世界观