Question 1
Jimmy Apples
x.com/apples_jimmyPseudonymous account that posts about AI lab rumors and progress, argues AGI is a spectrum and urges the industry to lead with benefits.
How will AI change the world?
Across: their expressed Doom–Bloom outlook. Up: scale of transformation.
Doom–Bloom: 88 out of 100. Scale of transformation: 74 out of 100. Interpretation ranges: 75 to 100 horizontally, 48 to 79 vertically. These are interpretation coordinates, not event probabilities.
≈4%
Inferred from their simulated answers, not a number they gave. Plausible range: 3–8%.
A central assumption
If swarms and RSI keep compounding, AI won’t just make existing work faster; it will change who can do frontier-level science, engineering, and creation at all.Answer 2
If this assumption turned out differently, how would their outlook change?
An unresolved question
I’m not going to invent a date or pretend I know whether this becomes full-on foom.Answer 2
What would help them distinguish the plausible outcomes here?
More details
Several readings remain plausible: Substantial benefits are expected, with important conditions or distribution limits. / Transformative, broadly valuable gains are expected.
81 / 100
Interpretation range 67 to 100 on the qualitative scale.
Manageable or localized harms are expected.
36 / 100
Interpretation range 33 to 33 on the qualitative scale.
Human choices have meaningful but substantially constrained influence.
56 / 100
Interpretation range 38 to 87 on the qualitative scale.
AI is expected to remain bounded tools.
AI is expected to match people across most cognitive work.
Simulated position: AI is expected to substantially exceed people across cognitive work.
These interpretations keep their stated conditions. Benefits and harms can both be substantial. The ranges describe how we read their simulated answers, not statistical confidence intervals.
Similar worldviews
Thought leaders whose simulated worldviews are closest to Jimmy Apples’s
Simulated Assessment
Sources
Articles, interviews, and writings used to ground this simulated user.
Where do you land?
Map my worldview