Question 1
Pseudonymous account that builds an AI job-application tool and posts about AI coding, local models and open-source competition.
How will AI change the world?
Across: their expressed Doom–Bloom outlook. Up: scale of transformation.
Doom–Bloom: 93 out of 100. Scale of transformation: 65 out of 100. Interpretation ranges: 88 to 100 horizontally, 50 to 75 vertically. These are interpretation coordinates, not event probabilities.
≈4%
Inferred from their simulated answers, not a number they gave. Plausible range: 3–8%.
A central assumption
Local inference is becoming genuinely powerful, and open source gives every second-place player an incentive to scorch the earth rather than let one company monopolize the stack.Answer 1
If this assumption turned out differently, how would their outlook change?
An unresolved question
I don’t have a serious percentage.Answer 3
What would help them distinguish the plausible outcomes here?
What could change their mind
A concrete, reproducible demonstration that capable systems can reliably escape deployment controls, acquire resources, and cause serious harm without human authorization would change my view—not another all-caps “bombshell” thread.Answer 5
What evidence would be enough, and in which direction would it move their view?
More details
Transformative, broadly valuable gains are expected.
93 / 100
Interpretation range 67 to 100 on the qualitative scale.
Little material adverse impact is expected.
5 / 100
Interpretation range 0 to 33 on the qualitative scale.
Human choices can substantially redirect the AI trajectory.
66 / 100
Interpretation range 46 to 79 on the qualitative scale.
Restrict access to powerful AI.
Allow access subject to capability or use restrictions.
Simulated position: Favor broad or open access to powerful AI.
These interpretations keep their stated conditions. Benefits and harms can both be substantial. The ranges describe how we read their simulated answers, not statistical confidence intervals.
Similar worldviews
Thought leaders whose simulated worldviews are closest to Roy’s
Simulated Assessment
Sources
Articles, interviews, and writings used to ground this simulated user.
Where do you land?
Map my worldview