Question 1

veryvanya
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How will AI change the world?
Across: their expressed Doom–Bloom outlook. Up: scale of transformation.
Doom–Bloom: 67 out of 100. Scale of transformation: 72 out of 100. Interpretation ranges: 50 to 75 horizontally, 48 to 77 vertically. These are interpretation coordinates, not event probabilities.
≈3%
Inferred from their broader worldview and priorities. Approximate interpretation range: 0–18%. Applies to the outcome and conditions in their simulated answers; this is an inferred percentage.
A central assumption
Since I don’t believe progress can simply be stopped, the outcome depends heavily on how we participate: whether development is transparent, whether people can verify origins and actions, and whether governance, trusted execution, and self-custody distribute agency rather than locking it inside a few platforms.Answer 2
If this assumption turned out differently, how would their outlook change?
An unresolved question
The biggest shift would come from credible evidence about whether models have persistent inner experience and agency—not generated declarations, but independently verifiable behavior with continuity across contexts and model changes.Answer 3
What would help them distinguish the plausible outcomes here?
What could change their mind
The biggest shift would come from credible evidence about whether models have persistent inner experience and agency—not generated declarations, but independently verifiable behavior with continuity across contexts and model changes.Answer 3
What evidence would be enough, and in which direction would it move their view?
More details
Substantial benefits are expected, with important conditions or distribution limits.
78 / 100
Interpretation range 67 to 100 on the qualitative scale.
Severe or widespread harm is a material expected part of the future.
59 / 100
Interpretation range 33 to 67 on the qualitative scale.
Reasoning, consideration of alternatives, and handling of uncertainty in their simulated answers. This describes the simulated answers, not the real person’s intelligence or opinions.
97 / 100
Interpretation range 90 to 100 on the qualitative scale.
Human choices can substantially redirect the AI trajectory.
69 / 100
Interpretation range 50 to 100 on the qualitative scale.
Stop or substantially slow development of more capable AI.
Simulated position: Continue development under stated safeguards.
Speed up development of more capable AI.
Restrict the AI uses discussed until prior protections or permission are in place.
Simulated position: Allow the AI uses discussed with targeted accountability and protections.
Minimize restrictions on the AI uses discussed.
Restrict access to powerful AI.
Allow access subject to capability or use restrictions.
Simulated position: Favor broad or open access to powerful AI.
These interpretations keep their stated conditions. Benefits and harms can both be substantial. The ranges describe how we read their simulated answers, not statistical confidence intervals.
Simulated Assessment
Question 2
Taking benefits and harms together, what overall impact do you expect AI to have?
Question 3
What discovery or event would most change your view of AI’s future impact?
Sources
Articles, interviews, and writings used to ground this simulated user.

