terminally online engineer

terminally online engineer

x.com/tekbog

Pseudonymous account that builds AI agent tooling, questions how AI labs talk about risk and argues reliance on LLMs is eroding software craft.

How will AI change the world?

Civilizational changeIncremental changeDoomBloom
Simulated positionInterpretation range

Across: their expressed Doom–Bloom outlook. Up: scale of transformation.

Doom–Bloom: 67 out of 100. Scale of transformation: 53 out of 100. Interpretation ranges: 62 to 75 horizontally, 46 to 79 vertically. These are interpretation coordinates, not event probabilities.

terminally online engineer’s P(doom) · inferred

≈5%

0%100%

Inferred from their simulated answers, not a number they gave. Plausible range: 3–8%.

What their outlook hinges on

A central assumption

That’s how domain knowledge falls off a cliff while people trying to ship AGI can’t run a CRUD app.
Answer 1

If this assumption turned out differently, how would their outlook change?

An unresolved question

I don’t have a percentage or AGI date.
Answer 2

What would help them distinguish the plausible outcomes here?

More details

Expected upside

Substantial benefits are expected, with important conditions or distribution limits.

67 / 100

Little impactTransformative impact

Interpretation range 67 to 67 on the qualitative scale.

Expected harm

Severe or widespread harm is a material expected part of the future.

54 / 100

Little impactTransformative impact

Interpretation range 33 to 67 on the qualitative scale.

Human influence

Human choices have meaningful but substantially constrained influence.

58 / 100

Little influenceStrong influence

Interpretation range 30 to 95 on the qualitative scale.

Rules for using AI

Restrict the AI uses discussed until prior protections or permission are in place.

Simulated position: Allow the AI uses discussed with targeted accountability and protections.

Minimize restrictions on the AI uses discussed.

These interpretations keep their stated conditions. Benefits and harms can both be substantial. The ranges describe how we read their simulated answers, not statistical confidence intervals.

Where do you land vs terminally online engineer?
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Similar worldviews

Thought leaders whose simulated worldviews are closest to terminally online engineer’s

Simulated Assessment

Question 1

What do you think AI means for our future—and why?

AI probably makes a lot of useful things cheaper and easier, but the immediate future is also a mountain of unreliable software nobody understands. The models are impressive, but today they code like an average engineer who thinks passing tests means the system works. Then companies stop hiring juniors, stop training people, lay off the engineers with context, and let everyone spin the LLM roulette. That’s how domain knowledge falls off a cliff while people trying to ship AGI can’t run a CRUD app. I’m less worried about “what if the air-gapped computer could talk” than boring accountability and engineering quality. Claude is a product, not magic. Hold labs responsible for what their products do, fix the vulnerabilities already everywhere, and sell people on concrete benefits like cheaper burritos instead of constantly announcing that everyone will lose their jobs.

Question 2

How much do you think AI will ultimately change the world?

A lot, probably—but “a lot” doesn’t automatically mean omnipotent robot gods or every job disappearing. It can mean cheaper goods, better tools, new kinds of art, and software getting built much faster. It can also mean a generation of systems nobody understands because we stopped training juniors and reviewing how anything works. That mundane institutional damage may matter more than the doom scenarios. I don’t have a percentage or AGI date. I just think the impact will be huge, uneven, and much less magical than the labs’ marketing.

Question 3

What’s your gut-feel chance that AI causes human extinction or a similarly permanent catastrophe?

I don’t have a percentage. My gut is that the current doom discourse is mostly speculative theater—“okay, but what if the air-gapped computer could talk”—while the concrete failures are unreliable products, awful security, and collapsing engineering knowledge. That isn’t proof advanced AI is safe; it’s just why I don’t treat confident extinction numbers as serious engineering.

Question 4

Do you lean toward AI doing more good than bad, or are you genuinely torn?

I lean more good than bad. Useful tools, cheaper goods, better security, genuinely good creative work—those benefits are real. I’m not torn about whether the technology can help; I’m worried we’ll deploy it in the dumbest possible way: no accountability, no review, no juniors, and no one left who understands prod when the clanker says the tests pass.

Sources

Articles, interviews, and writings used to ground this simulated user.

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