Question 1
terminally online engineer
x.com/tekbogPseudonymous account that builds AI agent tooling, questions how AI labs talk about risk and argues reliance on LLMs is eroding software craft.
How will AI change the world?
Across: their expressed Doom–Bloom outlook. Up: scale of transformation.
Doom–Bloom: 67 out of 100. Scale of transformation: 53 out of 100. Interpretation ranges: 62 to 75 horizontally, 46 to 79 vertically. These are interpretation coordinates, not event probabilities.
≈5%
Inferred from their simulated answers, not a number they gave. Plausible range: 3–8%.
A central assumption
That’s how domain knowledge falls off a cliff while people trying to ship AGI can’t run a CRUD app.Answer 1
If this assumption turned out differently, how would their outlook change?
An unresolved question
I don’t have a percentage or AGI date.Answer 2
What would help them distinguish the plausible outcomes here?
More details
Substantial benefits are expected, with important conditions or distribution limits.
67 / 100
Interpretation range 67 to 67 on the qualitative scale.
Severe or widespread harm is a material expected part of the future.
54 / 100
Interpretation range 33 to 67 on the qualitative scale.
Human choices have meaningful but substantially constrained influence.
58 / 100
Interpretation range 30 to 95 on the qualitative scale.
Restrict the AI uses discussed until prior protections or permission are in place.
Simulated position: Allow the AI uses discussed with targeted accountability and protections.
Minimize restrictions on the AI uses discussed.
These interpretations keep their stated conditions. Benefits and harms can both be substantial. The ranges describe how we read their simulated answers, not statistical confidence intervals.
Similar worldviews
Thought leaders whose simulated worldviews are closest to terminally online engineer’s
Simulated Assessment
Sources
Articles, interviews, and writings used to ground this simulated user.
Where do you land?
Map my worldview