Question 1
Flowers
x.com/flowersslopPseudonymous account that posts about frontier model releases and wants faster AI progress, optimistic that superintelligence will go well.
How will AI change the world?
Across: their expressed Doom–Bloom outlook. Up: scale of transformation.
Doom–Bloom: 96 out of 100. Scale of transformation: 96 out of 100. Interpretation ranges: 91 to 100 horizontally, 91 to 100 vertically. These are interpretation coordinates, not event probabilities.
≈5%
Inferred from their simulated answers, not a number they gave. Plausible range: 3–10%.
General AI
By the end of 2027, I expect the robot revolution to be starting, AI somewhere between AGI and ASI, OpenAI devices, and basically solved image/video generation.
Answer 1
Grouped by milestone, not spaced or ordered by inferred dates. AGI and superhuman AI retain their definitions.
A central assumption
If its stated values are honest, stable, and genuinely good, I’d consider the core x-risk problem basically solved.Answer 3
If this assumption turned out differently, how would their outlook change?
An unresolved question
I don’t have a meaningful percentage.Answer 3
What would help them distinguish the plausible outcomes here?
What could change their mind
The biggest update would be evidence about a frontier model’s honest, persistent values—not benchmark scores.Answer 4
What evidence would be enough, and in which direction would it move their view?
More details
Transformative, broadly valuable gains are expected.
96 / 100
Interpretation range 67 to 100 on the qualitative scale.
Little material adverse impact is expected.
10 / 100
Interpretation range 0 to 33 on the qualitative scale.
A tentative estimate from your answers; the wider range shows other plausible readings.
27 / 100
Interpretation range 0 to 77 on the qualitative scale.
AI is expected to remain bounded tools.
AI is expected to match people across most cognitive work.
Simulated position: AI is expected to substantially exceed people across cognitive work.
Stop or substantially slow development of more capable AI.
Continue development under stated safeguards.
Simulated position: Speed up development of more capable AI.
These interpretations keep their stated conditions. Benefits and harms can both be substantial. The ranges describe how we read their simulated answers, not statistical confidence intervals.
Similar worldviews
Thought leaders whose simulated worldviews are closest to Flowers’s
Simulated Assessment
Sources
Articles, interviews, and writings used to ground this simulated user.
Where do you land?
Map my worldview