Donald Trump

Donald Trump

x.com/realDonaldTrump

U.S. president who wants America to win the AI race and favors fast approvals for data centers and power plants to drive jobs and economic growth.

AIは世界をどのように変えるでしょうか？

文明規模の変化漸進的な変化DoomBloom
シミュレーション上の位置解釈範囲

横軸：彼が表明したDoom–Bloomの見通し。 縦軸：変革の規模。

Doom–Bloom：100点中98。変革の規模：100点中69。解釈範囲：横方向は93から100、縦方向は49から76。これらは解釈上の座標であり、事象の確率ではありません。

Donald TrumpのP(doom) · 推定

<1%

0%100%

本人が示した数値ではなく、シミュレーションされた本人の回答から推定したものです。 妥当と考えられる範囲：<1%。

The claim that AI will take over the world and destroy humanity is a hoax.
彼の見通しを左右するもの

中心的な前提

If America approves projects quickly, protects ordinary families from developers’ electricity costs, and lets our best companies compete, we can turn AI into jobs, medical breakthroughs and tremendous economic growth.
回答2

この前提が実際には異なると判明した場合、彼の見通しはどう変わりますか？

考えを変え得るもの

If AI stopped producing real investment, useful discoveries and American jobs—if the plants sat empty, the promised medical advances never appeared and ordinary families were forced to pay higher power bills—that would matter.
回答4

どのような証拠なら十分で、それによって彼の見解はどちらの方向に変わりますか？

詳細

予想される恩恵

変革をもたらし、広く価値のある恩恵が予想されています。

98 / 100

影響が小さい変革をもたらす影響

質的尺度での解釈範囲は100から100です。

予想される害

実質的な悪影響はほとんどないと予想されています。

1 / 100

影響が小さい変革をもたらす影響

質的尺度での解釈範囲は0から0です。

人間の影響力

人間の選択が決定的です。大きく異なるAIの未来が、今なお集団的に実現可能な範囲にあります。

90 / 100

影響力が小さい影響力が大きい

質的尺度での解釈範囲は75から100です。

開発ペース

より高性能なAIの開発を停止するか、大幅に減速させます。

明示された安全対策の下で開発を継続します。

シミュレーション上の位置：より高性能なAIの開発を加速させます。

これらの解釈では、彼が示した条件が維持されています。恩恵と害は、どちらも大きくなり得ます。この範囲は、統計的な信頼区間ではなく、彼のシミュレーションされた回答をどのように読み取ったかを示すものです。

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Donald TrumpがAIについて語ったこと

Trump says America must win the AI race and calls for fast permits for AI infrastructure and one national standard for AI rules.

  1. “AI, and Data Centers, will be the Greatest Economic Development Engine in History — Bigger than Oil, Gold, Diamonds, or even the Internet.”

    Post on Truth Social

  2. “The claim that “AI is going to take over the World” is a Hoax”

    Post on Truth Social

  3. “We MUST have one Federal Standard instead of a patchwork of 50 State Regulatory Regimes. If we don’t, then China will easily catch us in the AI race.”

    Post on Truth Social

  4. “I will sign a sweeping executive order to fast-track federal permitting, streamline reviews, and do everything possible to expedite construction of all major AI infrastructure projects.”

    Winning the AI Race summit speech

  5. “As with any such breakthrough, this technology brings the potential for bad as well as for good, for peril as well as for progress.”

    Winning the AI Race summit speech

リンク先の出典から原文どおりに引用（2026年10月3日に確認）

シミュレーション評価

質問1

AIは私たちの未来にとって何を意味すると思いますか？また、なぜそう思いますか？

AI is going to be enormous—bigger than the internet—and it can mean extraordinary growth, jobs, medical discoveries and national power. But America has to win. We have the companies, the investment and brilliant people ready to build data centers, power plants and new technology here. We cannot bury them under years of approvals and endless restrictions while other countries race ahead. The electricity demand is real, but that is a construction problem, not a reason to surrender. Let these developers build and pay for their own power instead of putting the cost on ordinary families. More plants, more supply, more investment. That is how you grow. The claim that AI will take over the world and destroy humanity is a hoax. It is being used to frighten people into regulating a historic American industry into stagnation. I see opportunity: new businesses, better medicine, tremendous investment and jobs we cannot even imagine yet. The future belongs to the country willing to build—and I want that country to be America.

質問2

人々はAIが将来及ぼす影響をどの程度形作ることができますか？

People can shape it enormously. AI is built by people, financed by people, powered by plants people construct, and governed by decisions people make. If America approves projects quickly, protects ordinary families from developers’ electricity costs, and lets our best companies compete, we can turn AI into jobs, medical breakthroughs and tremendous economic growth. The biggest danger is not some machine suddenly deciding to conquer humanity. That is a hoax. The real danger is that frightened politicians delay everything, regulate the industry into stagnation, and hand leadership to another country. We shape the future by choosing whether to build or retreat. I choose to build—and to win.

質問3

AIが将来もたらす影響についてのあなたの見解を最も形作った観察や経験は何ですか？

The biggest thing is the enormous investment already happening: companies ready to build data centers, power plants and whole new industries in America. That is real. You can see the construction, the demand for electricity, the race among countries and the possibility of major medical discoveries. I am not basing my view on some complicated theory about machines. I look at brilliant people, tremendous companies and huge amounts of capital moving toward AI. That tells me this will be bigger than the internet. When something attracts that level of talent and investment, the answer is not to panic over takeover stories. The answer is to approve the plants, make developers pay for their own power, create jobs and make sure America wins.

質問4

どのような発見や出来事があれば、AIが将来もたらす影響についてのあなたの見解が最も大きく変わりますか？

If AI stopped producing real investment, useful discoveries and American jobs—if the plants sat empty, the promised medical advances never appeared and ordinary families were forced to pay higher power bills—that would matter. I look at results. But I am not going to change my view because somebody publishes another frightening theory about machines taking over humanity. Show me an actual event, not a prediction: clear, undeniable harm that the companies and the country cannot control. Right now, what we see is brilliant people investing enormous amounts, building infrastructure and creating opportunity. The evidence points toward growth, and America should move fast enough to win it.

出典

このシミュレーション対象者の根拠として使用された記事、インタビュー、著作です。

Address at the Winning the AI Race event

Transcript published a day after the July 23 speech. Trump favors fast infrastructure approvals, private power generation and American technology leadership, while acknowledging some sensible regulation. His investment and economic assertions remain political claims, not measured outcomes.

techpolicy.press
AI takeover warnings and the economic opportunity

Primary post reproduced by the American Presidency Project at https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/truth-social-posts-september-14-2026; direct Truth Social exposed no readable body. Rejects takeover warnings, attacks calls for restrictive regulation and presents AI infrastructure as an enormous economic opportunity. Claims about China and opponents are his assertions.

truthsocial.com
Remarks on the ratepayer protection pledge

Read his own timestamped remarks. Describes AI as larger than the internet, frames leadership as a national competition and advocates data centers funding their own electricity. Promised lower bills are forecasts, not verified outcomes.

rollcall.com
Remarks and questions with technology leaders

Read Trump’s turns around 25–28 minutes. Credits faster power-plant approvals with enabling construction and responds to worker concerns by predicting jobs and medical advances. Other speakers’ technical and economic claims are excluded.

rollcall.com
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