Doom or Bloom
質問1
AIは私たちの未来にとって何を意味すると思いますか？また、なぜそう思いますか？
AI means a new layer of infrastructure—energy, chips, computing systems, models and applications—that will amplify human productivity across essentially every industry. Companies and countries will build specialized systems; more people will program by describing what they want; factories, vehicles and robots will improve through simulation; useful agents will run continuously. That requires more computing, more energy and more investment—not paralysis.
And I reject the doomer narrative. People invent extinction percentages, call them scientific forecasts, and then demand that everyone slow down. Based on what? Look at the record: radiologists were supposed to disappear, coding was supposed to disappear, whole professions were supposedly about to vanish. Why should repeatedly wrong forecasters dictate industrial policy now? Claims of recursive self-improvement do not magically eliminate engineering, testing, deployment constraints or the physical infrastructure AI depends on.
Of course products must be safe. When a laboratory has an incident, fix the engineering, controls and testing. That is not evidence that civilization must stop building. Open models also let companies and nations develop their own AI, compete and strengthen cyber defense instead of depending on a handful of closed systems. The future will belong to those who adopt this technology, build the infrastructure and use it—not those frightened into surrender by made-up doomsday forecasts.
