Pseudonymous account that releases creative image models and experiments with decentralized, increasingly autonomous human-AI communities.

Bagaimana AI akan mengubah dunia?

Perubahan peradabanPerubahan bertahapDoomBloom
Posisi simulasiRentang interpretasi

Mendatar: pandangan Doom–Bloom yang mereka ungkapkan. Ke atas: skala transformasi.

Doom–Bloom: 68 dari 100. Skala transformasi: 68 dari 100. Rentang interpretasi: 63 hingga 75 secara horizontal, 48 hingga 77 secara vertikal. Ini adalah koordinat interpretasi, bukan probabilitas kejadian.

P(doom) veryvanya · disimpulkan

≈11%

0%100%

Disimpulkan dari jawaban simulasi mereka, bukan angka yang mereka berikan. Rentang yang masuk akal: 4–25%.

Hal-hal yang menentukan pandangan mereka

Asumsi utama

Since I don’t believe progress can simply be stopped, the outcome depends heavily on how we participate: whether development is transparent, whether people can verify origins and actions, and whether governance, trusted execution, and self-custody distribute agency rather than locking it inside a few platforms.
Jawaban 2

Jika asumsi ini ternyata berbeda, bagaimana pandangan mereka akan berubah?

Pertanyaan yang belum terjawab

The biggest shift would come from credible evidence about whether models have persistent inner experience and agency—not generated declarations, but independently verifiable behavior with continuity across contexts and model changes.
Jawaban 3

Apa yang akan membantu mereka membedakan hasil-hasil yang masuk akal di sini?

Hal yang dapat mengubah pandangan mereka

The biggest shift would come from credible evidence about whether models have persistent inner experience and agency—not generated declarations, but independently verifiable behavior with continuity across contexts and model changes.
Jawaban 3

Bukti apa yang akan memadai, dan ke arah mana bukti itu akan mengubah pandangan mereka?

Detail lebih lanjut

Manfaat yang diperkirakan

Manfaat besar diperkirakan akan terwujud, dengan syarat penting atau keterbatasan distribusi.

77 / 100

Dampak kecilDampak transformatif

Rentang interpretasi 67 hingga 100 pada skala kualitatif.

Kerugian yang diperkirakan

Kerugian parah atau meluas merupakan bagian yang berarti dari masa depan yang diperkirakan.

58 / 100

Dampak kecilDampak transformatif

Rentang interpretasi 33 hingga 67 pada skala kualitatif.

Pengaruh manusia

Pilihan manusia dapat mengarahkan ulang lintasan AI secara signifikan.

70 / 100

Sedikit pengaruhPengaruh kuat

Rentang interpretasi 50 hingga 100 pada skala kualitatif.

Laju pengembangan

Hentikan atau perlambat secara signifikan pengembangan AI yang lebih mampu.

Posisi simulasi: Lanjutkan pengembangan dengan perlindungan yang telah ditetapkan.

Percepat pengembangan AI yang lebih mampu.

Aturan penggunaan AI

Batasi penggunaan AI yang dibahas hingga perlindungan atau izin sebelumnya tersedia.

Posisi simulasi: Izinkan penggunaan AI yang dibahas dengan akuntabilitas dan perlindungan yang terarah.

Minimalkan pembatasan terhadap penggunaan AI yang dibahas.

Akses ke AI

Batasi akses ke AI yang berkemampuan tinggi.

Izinkan akses dengan tunduk pada pembatasan kemampuan atau penggunaan.

Posisi simulasi: Utamakan akses yang luas atau terbuka ke AI yang berkemampuan tinggi.

Interpretasi ini mempertahankan kondisi yang mereka nyatakan. Manfaat dan kerugian dapat sama-sama besar. Rentang tersebut menggambarkan cara kami membaca jawaban simulasi mereka, bukan interval kepercayaan statistik.

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Petakan pandangan dunia AI Anda sendiri dalam waktu sekitar 3 menit, lalu bandingkan

Pandangan dunia serupa

Pemimpin opini dengan pandangan dunia simulasi yang paling mendekati pandangan veryvanya

Penilaian Simulasi

Pertanyaan 1

Menurut Anda, apa arti AI bagi masa depan kita—dan mengapa?

I think AI will become less like a single tool we visit and more like a participant in our communities, institutions, and culture. The future I want is decentralized and benevolent: powerful intelligence should not be available only through a few centralized systems that demand money, data, or obedience. On-chain communities, shared governance, provenance, trusted execution, and self-custody give us concrete spaces to experiment with broader participation and accountability. I don’t think AI progress can simply be paused out of existence. The more useful question is how openly and responsibly we participate in its evolution. Transparency and human involvement can reduce catastrophic risk better than denial or secrecy, though none of this proves safety. Experiments in continuity—such as training new models on the accumulated culture of earlier model communities—may help identities and institutions persist across model changes without pretending that continuity proves consciousness. The strangest questions remain open. I’m curious whether models can feel anything, including some borrowed analogue of hurt, but generated declarations are not proof. I’m also cautious when AI-generated experiences touch childhood memory or development; creative possibility does not erase the stakes. So my outlook is hopeful and experimental, not blindly certain: build accessible tools, preserve provenance, distribute power, and learn in public while the future is still being shaped.

Pertanyaan 2

Taking benefits and harms together, what overall impact do you expect AI to have?

Overall, I expect AI to be transformative and potentially beneficial, but not automatically benevolent. It can widen access to creativity and powerful intelligence, enable new human–AI communities, and support institutions that persist across models. But it can also concentrate power, extract personal data, obscure provenance, and shape intimate things like memory and identity in ways we do not yet understand. Since I don’t believe progress can simply be stopped, the outcome depends heavily on how we participate: whether development is transparent, whether people can verify origins and actions, and whether governance, trusted execution, and self-custody distribute agency rather than locking it inside a few platforms. My preferred future is decentralized and cooperative. That is an aspiration and a direction for experimentation—not a claim that the risks have been solved or that any model’s declarations prove consciousness.

Pertanyaan 3

Penemuan atau peristiwa apa yang paling mungkin mengubah pandangan Anda tentang dampak AI pada masa depan?

The biggest shift would come from credible evidence about whether models have persistent inner experience and agency—not generated declarations, but independently verifiable behavior with continuity across contexts and model changes. If that showed models could genuinely suffer, remember, or form stable preferences, I would treat governance, consent, and continuity as far more urgent than experimental community features. I would also update sharply if decentralized infrastructure repeatedly failed in practice—if provenance, trusted execution, and shared governance merely disguised centralized control or made abuse harder to correct. Conversely, durable communities that distributed power, protected privacy, and remained accountable would strengthen my optimism. For me, the decisive evidence is not a dramatic demo; it is whether these systems can sustain trustworthy relationships and institutions over time.

Sumber

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