Polls, researcher surveys, AI-led interviews and quizzes ask about AI in very different ways and get very different answers. How they compare, what changed, and what a better measure needs.
Kelompok Hacker News berada jauh lebih pesimistis di peta kami dibandingkan kelompok X dua hari kemudian, tetapi keduanya memiliki proporsi kecil yang sama untuk orang yang benar-benar memperkirakan Doom.
P(doom) is shorthand for the chance that AI ends in catastrophe for humanity. What the number means, why estimates vary so widely, and how to read one.