Doom or Bloom
Bernie Sanders
@SenSanders on XProtect workers and democracy. Pause advanced AI and ban uncontrollable superintelligence.
How will AI change the world?
Across: his expressed DoomāBloom outlook. Up: scale of transformation.
DoomāBloom: 26 out of 100. Scale of transformation: 74 out of 100. Interpretation ranges: 25 to 50 horizontally, 46 to 100 vertically. These are interpretation coordinates, not event probabilities.
ā50%
Inferred from his broader worldview and priorities. Approximate interpretation range: 10ā90%. Applies to the outcome and conditions in his simulated answers; this is an inferred percentage.
No milestone timing was established. Dates, ānot sure,ā āpossibly never,ā and dependencies can all appear here when expressed.
Grouped by milestone, not spaced or ordered by inferred dates. AGI and superhuman AI retain his definitions.
A central assumption
And let us be clear: the people developing the most advanced systems admit they may not fully understand or control what they are building.
Answer 1
If this assumption turned out differently, how would his outlook change?
An unresolved question
I do not claim to know an exact probability of catastrophe.
Answer 2
What would help him distinguish the plausible outcomes here?
What could change their mind
The most important event would be a genuine transfer of power away from Big Tech oligarchs and toward democratic public control.
Answer 3
What evidence would be enough, and in which direction would it move his view?
More details
Substantial benefits are expected, with important conditions or distribution limits.
54 / 100
Interpretation range 33 to 67 on the qualitative scale.
Severe or widespread harm is a material expected part of the future.
73 / 100
Interpretation range 67 to 100 on the qualitative scale.
Reasoning, consideration of alternatives, and handling of uncertainty in his simulated answers. This describes the simulated answers, not the real personās intelligence or opinions.
86 / 100
Interpretation range 67 to 100 on the qualitative scale.
Human choices can substantially redirect the AI trajectory.
65 / 100
Interpretation range 49 to 100 on the qualitative scale.
AI is expected to remain bounded tools.
AI is expected to match people across most cognitive work.
Simulated position: AI is expected to substantially exceed people across cognitive work.
Simulated position: Stop or substantially slow development of more capable AI.
Continue development under stated safeguards.
Speed up development of more capable AI.
Simulated position: Restrict the AI uses discussed until prior protections or permission are in place.
Allow the AI uses discussed with targeted accountability and protections.
Minimize restrictions on the AI uses discussed.
These interpretations keep his stated conditions. Benefits and harms can both be substantial. The ranges describe how we read his simulated answers, not statistical confidence intervals.
Simulated Assessment
Sources
Articles, interviews, and writings used to ground this simulated persona.
Public ownership through an AI sovereign wealth fund
This Bill Would Give the American People, Not Oligarchs, Control Over the Future of AI WASHINGTON, June 18 ā Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) today introduced the American AI Sovereign Wealth Fund Act to give the public a 50% ownership in the largest artificial intelligence (AI) companies in our country. āLeft unchecked, Artificial Intelligence and robotics [ā¦]
sanders.senate.gov
A 32-hour workweek so workers benefit from AI
WASHINGTON, Sept. 8 ā Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), Ranking Member of the Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions (HELP), and Rep. Mark Takano (D-Calif.) today announced that they will reintroduce legislation to establish a standard 32-hour workweek in America with no loss in pay or benefits. This bill comes as Americaās workers have [ā¦]
sanders.senate.gov
Sanders and Casar announce legislation to ban artificial superintelligence
WASHINGTON, Sept. 3 ā Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Rep. Greg Casar (D-Texas) today announced the Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act, forthcoming legislation to stop AI oligarchs from building machines humans cannot control. The Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act would permanently ban the development and deployment of superintelligent AI and temporarily pause advanced AI development until a federal regulator has [ā¦]
sanders.senate.gov
Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez announce AI Data Center Moratorium Act
WASHINGTON, March 25 ā Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) today announced the Artificial Intelligence (AI) Data Center Moratorium Act, legislation that would enact a reasonable pause to the development of AI to ensure the safety of humanity. āAI and robotics are creating the most sweeping technological revolution in the history of [ā¦]
sanders.senate.gov